Are We in a Bull Market Yet? | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Companies paying dividends can reduce or cut payouts at any time.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Technology stocks may be especially volatile. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

© 2024 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, Member SIPC.

CRC#6212147 (01/2024)

Are We in a Bull Market Yet? | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

Are We in a Bull Market Yet? | Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. Potential economic obstacles in 2024 could delay the start of a sustained bull market, but investors can still find opportunities. Consider staying cautious on U.S. stocks while shifting to bonds for potential income and capital gains.

Are we in a bull market right now? ›

The current bull market started in October 2022, which means it is now just less than 19 months old. If it ended now, it would be the shortest bull market ever. Most bull markets last much longer. The last 12 bull markets have averaged more than five years.

Are we in a bull or bear market in 2024? ›

Economic growth actually accelerated above its 10-year average in 2023. That resilience, coupled with a fascination about artificial intelligence (AI), changed investors' collective mood. The S&P 500 soared throughout the year and finally reached a new high in January 2024, making the new bull market official.

What is the outlook for 2024 Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. Morgan Stanley Economists see global economic growth of 3.1% in 2024 and 2025. Global growth remains steady and inflation is slowing, despite data volatility and shifting rate expectations in the first half.

Is there a new bull market coming? ›

'Headlines are scary right now,' but the new bull market could last another 9 years, according to this veteran investor. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 5, 2024.

Will the stock market recover in 2024? ›

Will 2024 be a good year for the stock market? So far, the S&P 500 is on track for above-average gains in 2024. The index has historically followed up a solid first-half performance with additional gains in the second half.

What is the market prediction for 2024? ›

Overall, Yardeni Research forecasts S&P 500 operating earnings at $250 in 2024, up 12% vs 2023. He puts them at $270 in 2025 (up 8%) and $300 in 2026 (up 11.1%). These figures compare with analysts' consensus forecasts of $244.70 in 2024, $279.70 in 2025 and $314.80 in 2026.

At what age should you get out of the stock market? ›

There are no set ages to get into or to get out of the stock market. While older clients may want to reduce their investing risk as they age, this doesn't necessarily mean they should be totally out of the stock market.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

Unlike the rapidly dwindling balance in your brokerage account, cash will still be in your pocket or in your bank account in the morning. However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.

How high will the S&P 500 go in 2024? ›

The estimates from strategists put the median target for the S&P 500 at 5,200 by the end of 2024, implying a decline of less than 1% from Friday's level, according to MarketWatch calculations. Heading into 2024, the median target was around 5,000 (see table below).

What is the financial forecast for 2024? ›

Continued wage and employment growth will sustain growth in disposable income in 2024. A further uptick in the saving rate to 14.4% however limits the expansion of private consumption to 1.3% - still well below trend growth.

What is the best investment in 2024? ›

5 Best long term investments
Investment vehicleRecommended provider
1. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)J.P. Morgan Self-Directed Investing Platform
2. Dividend StocksM1 Finance
3. Short-term BondsPublic App
4. Real EstateRealtyMogul
1 more row
May 27, 2024

Is now a good time to invest in the stock market? ›

Based on the stock market's historic performance, there's never necessarily a bad time to buy -- as long as you keep a long-term outlook. The market can be volatile in the short term (even in strong economic times), but it has a perfect track record of seeing positive returns over many years.

Will the bull market continue in 2024? ›

Potential economic obstacles in 2024 could delay the start of a sustained bull market, but investors can still find opportunities. Consider staying cautious on U.S. stocks while shifting to bonds for potential income and capital gains.

Which stock will boom in 2024? ›

5 best stocks to buy
S.No.Top 5 StocksIndustry/Sector
1.Shriram FinanceNBFC
2.SBI Life InsuranceInsurance
3.Axis BankBanking
4.Mahindra & MahindraAuto
1 more row
5 days ago

How do you know if a bull market is coming? ›

The commonly accepted threshold for the start of a bull market is a rise in stock prices of 20%. Traders employ a variety of strategies, such as increased buy and hold and retracement, to profit from bull markets. The opposite of a bull market is a bear market, in which prices trend downward.

How do you know if you are in a bull market? ›

No specific and universal metric identifies a bull market. Nonetheless, the most common gauge used is a 20% or more rise in stock prices from recent lows.

How long does a bull market usually last? ›

How long the average bull market lasts. As much as investors would like the answer to this question to be "forever," bull markets tend to run for just under four years. The average bull market duration, since 1932, is 3.8 years, according to market research firm InvesTech Research.

Do you buy in a bull or bear market? ›

One way to capitalize on the rising prices of a bull market is to buy stocks early on and sell them before they reach their peak. In a bear market, where there is more loss potential, investing in equities should be done with great prudence, since you are likely to incur a loss — at least initially.

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Roderick King

Last Updated:

Views: 6698

Rating: 4 / 5 (71 voted)

Reviews: 86% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Roderick King

Birthday: 1997-10-09

Address: 3782 Madge Knoll, East Dudley, MA 63913

Phone: +2521695290067

Job: Customer Sales Coordinator

Hobby: Gunsmithing, Embroidery, Parkour, Kitesurfing, Rock climbing, Sand art, Beekeeping

Introduction: My name is Roderick King, I am a cute, splendid, excited, perfect, gentle, funny, vivacious person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.